As anyone who is anyone knows, the fall season is when Hollywood studios wait to release their most upscale and high brow films in order to remain fresh in the minds of Academy voters who will be voting mere months away. With that in mind, we have compiled a list of those films and tried to gauge their chances of taking home the industry's top-most prize, the Oscar award.
DUCT TAPE (Fox Searchlight)
Logline: The epic true story of Saul Duct (Sean Penn) and how he invented duct tape despite being blind and African-American.
Oscar chances: 4-1
Why It Will Win: People know what duct tape is. This is the first "tape" movie made in 3D.
Why It Won't Win: Mel Gibson directed. Also will get heavy competition from Sony's fall release STICKY, with Samuel L. Jackson playing the white Gabriel Lemonz, the inventor of masking tape.
Logline: When a fun loving but accident prone chimp contracts AIDS from a dirty drug needle, he has to assemble a ragtag crew of zany zoo animal friends to get him out of his cage and into a real hospital so that he doesn't die.
THE GREAT HOLOCAUST WEDDING FUNERAL BANK HEIST (Disney)
Logline: Set in Holocaust times, after a very Jewish man (Javier Bardem) attends his wife's (Queen Latifah) funeral, he has 24 hours to escape from a Nazi concentration camp in order to rob the biggest bank in Germany (Washington Mutual) so that he can pay for his daughter's (Miley Cyrus) upcoming wedding to the very man who is responsible for all his problems (Hitler).
Oscar chances: 1-1
Why It Will Win: It has everything.
Why It Won't Win: It will win.
Oscar chances: 100-1
Why It Will Win: People love actors.
Why It Won't Win: It's really not a very good movie and the actors involved aren't really trying all that hard even though it does seem like they are enjoying themselves.
MEN WHO LOVE MEN WHO THINK THEY LOVE WOMEN BUT REALLY LOVE MEN (Overture)
Logline: A mild-mannered homosexual accountant (Leonardo Dicaprio) falls in love with a less mild-mannered homosexual accountant (Ryan Reynolds) who doesn't know he's a homosexual but is married to another accountant in the office (Whitney Houston) who is not mild-mannnered at all.
Oscar chances: 3-1
Why It Will Win: Great performances and all the sex scenes take place in Spanish.
Why It Won't Win: If the Academy is all, "It's too gay".
THE MEN'S ROOM (Touchstone)
THE SUN (MGM)
ONE NIGHT IN PARIS (Miramax)
THREE'S COMPANY (Sony)